Research Article
Adaptive Calibration Framework for Intelligent Meter Error Prediction Based on Machine Learning
@ARTICLE{10.4108/ew.12150, author={Chunguang Wang}, title={Adaptive Calibration Framework for Intelligent Meter Error Prediction Based on Machine Learning}, journal={EAI Endorsed Transactions on Energy Web}, volume={13}, number={1}, publisher={EAI}, journal_a={EW}, year={2026}, month={5}, keywords={Adaptive Calibration, Intelligent Meter, Measurement Error Prediction, Smart Metering Systems, Machine-Learning-Based Calibration, ACSO-WIForest, Anomaly Detection, Robust Principal Component Analysis, Swarm Optimization}, doi={10.4108/ew.12150} }- Chunguang Wang
Year: 2026
Adaptive Calibration Framework for Intelligent Meter Error Prediction Based on Machine Learning
EW
EAI
DOI: 10.4108/ew.12150
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Accurate measurement in intelligent metering systems is crucial for reliable energy monitoring, billing, and smart grid management. However, intelligent power meters often experience measurement inaccuracies due to environmental disturbances, hardware aging, and insufficient calibration mechanisms. These issues may lead to systematic errors and unreliable data in energy management systems. Therefore, improving the reliability and accuracy of intelligent metering devices through advanced data-driven techniques has become an important research focus. OBJECTIVES: The main objective of this study is to develop an Adaptive Calibration Framework for Intelligent Meter Error Prediction using Machine Learning. The framework aims to detect abnormal data, predict measurement errors, and improve the accuracy and reliability of intelligent metering systems operating under diverse environmental conditions. METHODS: The proposed framework integrates dynamic error detection, outlier filtering, and predictive modeling. Data collected from intelligent meters are first normalized using Min–Max scaling to ensure consistent training. Robust Principal Component Analysis (RPCA) with an improved distance function and adaptive thresholding based on the box plot method is used to detect and remove anomalous data. Subsequently, an Adaptive Cockroach Swarm Optimized Weighted Isolation Forest (ACSO-WIForest) model is employed to predict measurement errors by learning complex relationships between environmental stress factors and device performance. RESULTS: The experimental evaluation of the proposed ACSO-WIForest model using datasets from intelligent meters in harsh environmental conditions shows its effectiveness. The model demonstrates strong predictive performance with a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.00156, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.0040, and a low Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 0.221, indicating high prediction precision. With a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.998, the model achieves excellent fit and reliability, significantly outperforming existing methods in intelligent meter error prediction. CONCLUSION: The results indicate that machine learning–based adaptive calibration can significantly improve the accuracy, reliability, and self-correcting capability of intelligent metering systems. This approach provides a practical solution for enhancing trustworthy energy monitoring and management infrastructures
