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sis 23(5):

Research Article

Predicting Student Dropout based on Machine Learning and Deep Learning: A Systematic Review

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  • @ARTICLE{10.4108/eetsis.3586,
        author={Daniel Andrade-Gir\^{o}n and Juana Sandivar-Rosas and William Mar\^{\i}n-Rodriguez and Edgar Susanibar-Ramirez and Eliseo Toro-Dextre and Jose Ausejo-Sanchez and Henry Villarreal-Torres and Julio Angeles-Morales},
        title={Predicting Student Dropout based on Machine Learning and Deep Learning: A Systematic Review},
        journal={EAI Endorsed Transactions on Scalable Information Systems},
        volume={10},
        number={5},
        publisher={EAI},
        journal_a={SIS},
        year={2023},
        month={7},
        keywords={prediction, student attrition, machine learning, deep learning},
        doi={10.4108/eetsis.3586}
    }
    
  • Daniel Andrade-Girón
    Juana Sandivar-Rosas
    William Marín-Rodriguez
    Edgar Susanibar-Ramirez
    Eliseo Toro-Dextre
    Jose Ausejo-Sanchez
    Henry Villarreal-Torres
    Julio Angeles-Morales
    Year: 2023
    Predicting Student Dropout based on Machine Learning and Deep Learning: A Systematic Review
    SIS
    EAI
    DOI: 10.4108/eetsis.3586
Daniel Andrade-Girón1, Juana Sandivar-Rosas2, William Marín-Rodriguez1,*, Edgar Susanibar-Ramirez1, Eliseo Toro-Dextre1, Jose Ausejo-Sanchez1, Henry Villarreal-Torres3, Julio Angeles-Morales3
  • 1: Universidad Nacional José Faustino Sánchez Carrión
  • 2: National University of San Marcos
  • 3: Universidad San Pedro
*Contact email: wmarin@unjfsc.edu.pe

Abstract

Student dropout is one of the most complex challenges facing the education system worldwide. In order to evaluate the success of Machine Learning and Deep Learning algorithms in predicting student dropout, a systematic review was conducted. The search was carried out in several electronic bibliographic databases, including Scopus, IEEE, and Web of Science, covering up to June 2023, having 246 articles as search reports. Exclusion criteria, such as review articles, editorials, letters, and comments, were established. The final review included 23 studies in which performance metrics such as accuracy/precision, sensitivity/recall, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) were evaluated. In addition, aspects related to study modality, training, testing strategy, cross-validation, and confounding matrix were considered. The review results revealed that the most used Machine Learning algorithm was Random Forest, present in 21.73% of the studies; this algorithm obtained an accuracy of 99% in the prediction of student dropout, higher than all the algorithms used in the total number of studies reviewed.

Keywords
prediction, student attrition, machine learning, deep learning
Received
2022-12-11
Accepted
2023-07-07
Published
2023-07-18
Publisher
EAI
http://dx.doi.org/10.4108/eetsis.3586

Copyright © 2023 Girón et al., licensed to EAI. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the CC BY-NC-SA 4.0, which permits copying, redistributing, remixing, transformation, and building upon the material in any medium so long as the original work is properly cited.

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