Proceedings of the International Conference on Information Economy, Data Modeling and Cloud Computing, ICIDC 2022, 17-19 June 2022, Qingdao, China

Research Article

Loan Prepayment Prediction Based on SVM-RFE and XGBoost Models

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  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.17-6-2022.2322765,
        author={Qi  Mao and Gang  Liu and Zhiyu  Chen and Jianwei  Guo and Peng  Liu},
        title={Loan Prepayment Prediction Based on SVM-RFE and XGBoost Models},
        proceedings={Proceedings of the International Conference on Information Economy, Data Modeling and Cloud Computing, ICIDC 2022, 17-19 June 2022, Qingdao, China},
        publisher={EAI},
        proceedings_a={ICIDC},
        year={2022},
        month={10},
        keywords={loan prepayment; feature selection; svm-rfe; xgboost; weighted cross-entropy loss function},
        doi={10.4108/eai.17-6-2022.2322765}
    }
    
  • Qi Mao
    Gang Liu
    Zhiyu Chen
    Jianwei Guo
    Peng Liu
    Year: 2022
    Loan Prepayment Prediction Based on SVM-RFE and XGBoost Models
    ICIDC
    EAI
    DOI: 10.4108/eai.17-6-2022.2322765
Qi Mao1, Gang Liu1, Zhiyu Chen1, Jianwei Guo1,*, Peng Liu2
  • 1: Changchun University of Technology
  • 2: Jilin Heshun Hengtong Technology Co.
*Contact email: guojianwei@ccut.edu.cn

Abstract

The problem of large dimensionality of loan data and unbalanced data samples severely affects the classification, and the article proposes a support vector machine for feature recursive elimination and XGBoost for a loan early repayment prediction. Firstly, the combination of Pearson index and SVM-RFE in the data feature layer can reduce the dimension of data, find the best feature subset including more information, and then find more information. Secondly, the weighted cross-entropy loss function is introduced into the XGBoost algorithm to solve the problem of data imbalance. Finally, a comparative experiment is carried out on the LendingClub data set to confirm the effectiveness of the proposed model in predicting and analyzing the personal behavior of loan prepayment.