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Proceedings of the 4th Sriwijaya International Conference on Basic and Applied Sciences, SICBAS 2025, 6 November 2025, Palembang, Indonesia

Research Article

Analysis of Changes in Weather Elements Clustering in Pagar Alam in 2023 and 2024 Using K-Means and Average Linkage Clustering Methods

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  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.6-11-2025.2364259,
        author={Sri Indra Maiyanti and Irmeilyana  Irmeilyana and Putri Nilam Cayo and Ngudiantoro  Ngudiantoro},
        title={Analysis of Changes in Weather Elements Clustering in Pagar Alam in 2023 and 2024 Using K-Means and Average Linkage Clustering Methods},
        proceedings={Proceedings of the 4th Sriwijaya International Conference on Basic and Applied Sciences, SICBAS 2025, 6 November 2025, Palembang, Indonesia},
        publisher={EAI},
        proceedings_a={SICBAS},
        year={2026},
        month={8},
        keywords={Average linkage K-means clustering Pagar Alam weather elements weekly time clusters},
        doi={10.4108/eai.6-11-2025.2364259}
    }
    
  • Sri Indra Maiyanti
    Irmeilyana Irmeilyana
    Putri Nilam Cayo
    Ngudiantoro Ngudiantoro
    Year: 2026
    Analysis of Changes in Weather Elements Clustering in Pagar Alam in 2023 and 2024 Using K-Means and Average Linkage Clustering Methods
    SICBAS
    EAI
    DOI: 10.4108/eai.6-11-2025.2364259
Sri Indra Maiyanti1, Irmeilyana Irmeilyana1,*, Putri Nilam Cayo1, Ngudiantoro Ngudiantoro1
  • 1: Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Sriwijaya, Indonesia
*Contact email: irmeilyana@unsri.ac.id

Abstract

Climate is a combination of weather elements over a long period of time. Global climate change can impact the productivity of agricultural crops, including coffee plantations in Pagar Alam, South Sumatra, Indonesia. The purpose of this study is to cluster the time of occurrence based on weather elements data in Pagar Alam in 2023 and 2024 using K-means and average linkage clustering methods. The data matrix consists of 53 weeks and 15 weather element variables. Based on the biplot and Silhouette Index results of both data matrices, the K values used were 2 and 4. The K-means clustering results on the 2024 data matrix indicate that a cluster of the majority of weeks is characterized by higher minimum temperature, dew point, humidity, precipitation cover, and cloud cover. Meanwhile, in the 2023 data matrix, a cluster of the majority of weeks is characterized by high levels of dew, humidity, and cloud cover. The average linkage clustering results are almost similar to the K-means clustering results. The results of time data clustering can help develop strategies for timing agricultural land management practices as an adaptation measure to weather variability.

Keywords
Average linkage, K-means clustering, Pagar Alam, weather elements, weekly time clusters
Published
2026-08-12
Publisher
EAI
http://dx.doi.org/10.4108/eai.6-11-2025.2364259
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