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Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Economics, Business and Economic Education Science, ICE-BEES 2021, 27-28 July 2021, Semarang, Indonesia

Research Article

Analysis of Market Timing and Stock Selection Ability on Indonesian Equity Mutual Funds Before and The Ongoing COVID-19 Over the Period of 2015-2021

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  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.27-7-2021.2316892,
        author={Madeline  Madeline and Eko  Rizkianto},
        title={Analysis of Market Timing and Stock Selection Ability on Indonesian Equity Mutual Funds Before and The Ongoing COVID-19 Over the Period of 2015-2021 },
        proceedings={Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Economics, Business and Economic Education Science, ICE-BEES 2021, 27-28 July 2021, Semarang, Indonesia},
        publisher={EAI},
        proceedings_a={ICE-BEES},
        year={2022},
        month={3},
        keywords={market timing stock selection equity mutual funds covid-19 indonesia},
        doi={10.4108/eai.27-7-2021.2316892}
    }
    
  • Madeline Madeline
    Eko Rizkianto
    Year: 2022
    Analysis of Market Timing and Stock Selection Ability on Indonesian Equity Mutual Funds Before and The Ongoing COVID-19 Over the Period of 2015-2021
    ICE-BEES
    EAI
    DOI: 10.4108/eai.27-7-2021.2316892
Madeline Madeline1,*, Eko Rizkianto1
  • 1: Universitas Indonesia
*Contact email: madeline.tjandra95@gmail.com

Abstract

This research analyzes the market timing and stock selection ability of 25 top gainers and 25 top losers of equity mutual funds in Indonesia before covid-19 and during the pandemic using time series analysis. Using Treynor-Mazuy and Henriksson-Mertons’ theory, results show before covid-19, there are 9 and 22 mutual funds that doesn’t have market timing ability respectively. Whereas using Jensen’s Alpha method, before covid-19 there are 26 mutual funds that doesn’t have stock selection ability. As for the period of the ongoing covid-19, there are 20 and 29 mutual funds that doesn’t have market timing ability, using Treynor-Mazuy and Henriksson-Merton respectively. There are 28 mutual funds that doesn’t have stock selection ability. Therefore, it was concluded that there is a decline in the performance of market timing and stock selection ability of equity mutual funds during the covid-19 pandemic in Indonesia. The majority of mutual funds which lack of market timing and stock selection ability came from the top losers’ bracket.

Keywords
market timing stock selection equity mutual funds covid-19 indonesia
Published
2022-03-17
Publisher
EAI
http://dx.doi.org/10.4108/eai.27-7-2021.2316892
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