Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Economics, Business and Economic Education Science, ICE-BEES 2021, 27-28 July 2021, Semarang, Indonesia

Research Article

Analysis of Market Timing and Stock Selection Ability on Indonesian Equity Mutual Funds Before and The Ongoing COVID-19 Over the Period of 2015-2021

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  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.27-7-2021.2316892,
        author={Madeline  Madeline and Eko  Rizkianto},
        title={Analysis of Market Timing and Stock Selection Ability on Indonesian Equity Mutual Funds Before and The Ongoing COVID-19 Over the Period of 2015-2021 },
        proceedings={Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Economics, Business and Economic Education Science, ICE-BEES 2021, 27-28 July 2021, Semarang, Indonesia},
        publisher={EAI},
        proceedings_a={ICE-BEES},
        year={2022},
        month={3},
        keywords={market timing stock selection equity mutual funds covid-19 indonesia},
        doi={10.4108/eai.27-7-2021.2316892}
    }
    
  • Madeline Madeline
    Eko Rizkianto
    Year: 2022
    Analysis of Market Timing and Stock Selection Ability on Indonesian Equity Mutual Funds Before and The Ongoing COVID-19 Over the Period of 2015-2021
    ICE-BEES
    EAI
    DOI: 10.4108/eai.27-7-2021.2316892
Madeline Madeline1,*, Eko Rizkianto1
  • 1: Universitas Indonesia
*Contact email: madeline.tjandra95@gmail.com

Abstract

This research analyzes the market timing and stock selection ability of 25 top gainers and 25 top losers of equity mutual funds in Indonesia before covid-19 and during the pandemic using time series analysis. Using Treynor-Mazuy and Henriksson-Mertons’ theory, results show before covid-19, there are 9 and 22 mutual funds that doesn’t have market timing ability respectively. Whereas using Jensen’s Alpha method, before covid-19 there are 26 mutual funds that doesn’t have stock selection ability. As for the period of the ongoing covid-19, there are 20 and 29 mutual funds that doesn’t have market timing ability, using Treynor-Mazuy and Henriksson-Merton respectively. There are 28 mutual funds that doesn’t have stock selection ability. Therefore, it was concluded that there is a decline in the performance of market timing and stock selection ability of equity mutual funds during the covid-19 pandemic in Indonesia. The majority of mutual funds which lack of market timing and stock selection ability came from the top losers’ bracket.