Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Mathematical Statistics and Economic Analysis, MSEA 2023, May 26–28, 2023, Nanjing, China

Research Article

Research and Application of Investment Risk Identification Based on Probability-Deep Neural Network

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  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.26-5-2023.2334474,
        author={Yuheng  Sha and Qian  Ma and Chao  Xu and Xue  Tan and Jun  Yan and Yuqian  Zhang},
        title={Research and Application of Investment Risk Identification Based on Probability-Deep Neural Network},
        proceedings={Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Mathematical Statistics and Economic Analysis, MSEA 2023, May 26--28, 2023, Nanjing, China},
        publisher={EAI},
        proceedings_a={MSEA},
        year={2023},
        month={7},
        keywords={project risk identification; text classification; neural network; risk decision matrix; grid investment},
        doi={10.4108/eai.26-5-2023.2334474}
    }
    
  • Yuheng Sha
    Qian Ma
    Chao Xu
    Xue Tan
    Jun Yan
    Yuqian Zhang
    Year: 2023
    Research and Application of Investment Risk Identification Based on Probability-Deep Neural Network
    MSEA
    EAI
    DOI: 10.4108/eai.26-5-2023.2334474
Yuheng Sha1,*, Qian Ma2, Chao Xu2, Xue Tan3, Jun Yan4, Yuqian Zhang4
  • 1: State Grid Corporation of China Beijing
  • 2: State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., Ltd.
  • 3: State Grid Energy Research Institute Co., Ltd.
  • 4: Tianjin Tianda Qiushi Power New Technology Co., Ltd.
*Contact email: Yuhengsha@126.com

Abstract

As the scale of power grid construction continues to expand, the scale of investment is also increasing, and investment risk factors are becoming more and more complex. To ensure the efficiency of power grid investment, it is necessary to identify power grid investment risks and formulate relevant preventive measures. Firstly, it uses natural language processing (NLP) and term frequency- inverse document frequency (TF-IDF) method to preprocess the text. Secondly, probabilistic neural network (PNN) is used to divide text materials into five kinds. Finally, back-propagation (BP) is used to evaluate the risk level of each text, achieving the risk category and risk level of the project investment. Furthermore, on this basis, the investment risk decision matrix is drawn and the investment risk response strategies are put forward, and an effective way for the practice of investment risk management in power grid projects are provided.