Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Mathematical Statistics and Economic Analysis, MSEA 2023, May 26–28, 2023, Nanjing, China

Research Article

The Impact of the Stock Index Futures “Regulation” Policy and “Deregulation” Policies on the Spot Market Volatility

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  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.26-5-2023.2334418,
        author={Haorui  Jia},
        title={The Impact of the Stock Index Futures “Regulation” Policy and “Deregulation” Policies on the Spot Market Volatility},
        proceedings={Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Mathematical Statistics and Economic Analysis, MSEA 2023, May 26--28, 2023, Nanjing, China},
        publisher={EAI},
        proceedings_a={MSEA},
        year={2023},
        month={7},
        keywords={index futures; spot market; volatility; trading policy adjustment},
        doi={10.4108/eai.26-5-2023.2334418}
    }
    
  • Haorui Jia
    Year: 2023
    The Impact of the Stock Index Futures “Regulation” Policy and “Deregulation” Policies on the Spot Market Volatility
    MSEA
    EAI
    DOI: 10.4108/eai.26-5-2023.2334418
Haorui Jia1,*
  • 1: Fudan University
*Contact email: jessicajia330@163.com

Abstract

In 2015, the China Financial Futures Exchange implemented a strong regulation policy on the trading of stock index futures. After which following the past few years, it carried out a few more policy adjustments to restore the capacity of index futures trading. This paper implies the ARMA-GARCH model to study the impact of policy adjustments on spot market volatility. The results show that: (1)The strong regulation policy during the stock market crash reduced the spot volatility; (2) The subsequent deregulation policy adjustments activated the futures’ function, which further reduced the spot market volatility.