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Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Mathematical Statistics and Economic Analysis, MSEA 2023, May 26–28, 2023, Nanjing, China

Research Article

Impact of Road Environment on Occurrence and Injury Severity in Hit-And-Run Crash

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  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.26-5-2023.2334255,
        author={Bai  Wei},
        title={Impact of Road Environment on Occurrence and Injury Severity in Hit-And-Run Crash},
        proceedings={Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Mathematical Statistics and Economic Analysis, MSEA 2023, May 26--28, 2023, Nanjing, China},
        publisher={EAI},
        proceedings_a={MSEA},
        year={2023},
        month={7},
        keywords={hit-and-run crash; road environment; logistic regression; factors identification; injury severity},
        doi={10.4108/eai.26-5-2023.2334255}
    }
    
  • Bai Wei
    Year: 2023
    Impact of Road Environment on Occurrence and Injury Severity in Hit-And-Run Crash
    MSEA
    EAI
    DOI: 10.4108/eai.26-5-2023.2334255
Bai Wei1,*
  • 1: Sichuan Police College
*Contact email: 359954349@qq.com

Abstract

In order to identify the road environment and other external causes influencing the occurrence of hit-and-run crash with casualty for enhence the road safety, and clarify the impact of these factors on injury severity in the crash, the paper employs the logistic regression model to examine external factors and crossing variables by the formation of dummy variables, based on the 2012~2014 road traffic crash data of Michigan, USA. The results indicate that nighttime, nighttime & within the lane, nighttime & weekend and rural road & nighttime have significant impacts on the occurrence of hit-and-run crash with casualty, while rural road, speed limit and rural road & within the lane are associated with the less likelihood of crash happening significantly. The well condition of the road surface, crashes occurred away from the intersection and road lanes can increase the probability of the injury severity in hit-and-run crash, while the better lighting condition, working day, daytime and urban road reduce the possibility of severe injuries happening. According to the analytic, it is necessary to strengthen the supervision of traffic at night, and more monitoring measures are needed at weekend night, rural road in evening, off-road space also.

Keywords
hit-and-run crash; road environment; logistic regression; factors identification; injury severity
Published
2023-07-21
Publisher
EAI
http://dx.doi.org/10.4108/eai.26-5-2023.2334255
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