Research Article
Research on Investment Strategy of Energy-saving Renovation of Public Buildings Driven by Carbon Trading
@INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.24-5-2024.2350050, author={Yangfan Luo and Jinlong Wang and Chun Liu and Tao Chen}, title={Research on Investment Strategy of Energy-saving Renovation of Public Buildings Driven by Carbon Trading}, proceedings={Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Mathematical Statistics and Economic Analysis, MSEA 2024, May 24--26, 2024, Jinan, China}, publisher={EAI}, proceedings_a={MSEA}, year={2024}, month={10}, keywords={carbon emissions public buildings energy saving renovation investment strategy}, doi={10.4108/eai.24-5-2024.2350050} }- Yangfan Luo
Jinlong Wang
Chun Liu
Tao Chen
Year: 2024
Research on Investment Strategy of Energy-saving Renovation of Public Buildings Driven by Carbon Trading
MSEA
EAI
DOI: 10.4108/eai.24-5-2024.2350050
Abstract
This paper investigates the investment strategy with the shortest payback period or the highest net present value based on the comprehensive income of energy conservation and carbon emission trading of different building reconstruction technologies. The analysis is conducted using a multiple regression algorithm, taking into account the price fluctuation of the initial investment and carbon emission trading. The case verification results indicate that the optimal initial investment results in a capital savings of 44.43%, a reduction in the payback period by 4.33 years, and a rise in the total investment rate by 37.92% compared to the full investment. Diverse optimal capital allocation options exist, which are subject to vary based on investment priorities between boiler replacement and rooftop PV, particularly in the context of carbon trading price fluctuations around 50 ³/t. Ultimately, a venture capital decision model is developed using the probability distribution of carbon trading prices during the contract time. The model aims to optimize the overall projected return, offering owners precise and adaptable investment guidance.