Research Article
Prediction and Coping Strategies of Triple La Nina Event based on Time Series
@INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.24-11-2023.2343463, author={Yaodong Zhang}, title={Prediction and Coping Strategies of Triple La Nina Event based on Time Series }, proceedings={Proceedings of the International Conference on Industrial Design and Environmental Engineering, IDEE 2023, November 24--26, 2023, Zhengzhou, China}, publisher={EAI}, proceedings_a={IDEE}, year={2024}, month={2}, keywords={triple la nina event; arima time series model; climate data; coping strategy}, doi={10.4108/eai.24-11-2023.2343463} }- Yaodong Zhang
Year: 2024
Prediction and Coping Strategies of Triple La Nina Event based on Time Series
IDEE
EAI
DOI: 10.4108/eai.24-11-2023.2343463
Abstract
According to the latest data from the World Meteorological Organization, the effects of the triple La Nina could last until the end of 2022 or beyond. Double La Nina events are common in the Northern Hemisphere, but triple La Nina events are rare. By studying the climate data and human data in recent years, this paper separated the climate data of Southeast Asia, Southwest America, China and South America, including PRCP (precipitation), TEMP (average temperature) and other indicators. Data of 34,847 cases in four regions were downloaded from National Centers for Environmental Information. ARIMA time series model was established to predict future indicator data, and abnormal values were found in indicator data. Therefore, triple La Nina events are more likely to occur in the future.