Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Big Data Economy and Information Management, BDEIM 2022, December 2-3, 2022, Zhengzhou, China

Research Article

Research on Grid Infrastructure Project Investment Prediction Model Based on Bootstrap Data Expansion and Grey Correlation

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  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.2-12-2022.2328678,
        author={Jianjia  Zhou and Na  An and Kui  Liang and Junxian  Jiang and Yaxue  Mu},
        title={Research on Grid Infrastructure Project Investment Prediction Model Based on Bootstrap Data Expansion and Grey Correlation},
        proceedings={Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Big Data Economy and Information Management, BDEIM 2022, December 2-3, 2022, Zhengzhou, China},
        publisher={EAI},
        proceedings_a={BDEIM},
        year={2023},
        month={6},
        keywords={quantities; value; distribution characteristics; correlation; synergy to compile},
        doi={10.4108/eai.2-12-2022.2328678}
    }
    
  • Jianjia Zhou
    Na An
    Kui Liang
    Junxian Jiang
    Yaxue Mu
    Year: 2023
    Research on Grid Infrastructure Project Investment Prediction Model Based on Bootstrap Data Expansion and Grey Correlation
    BDEIM
    EAI
    DOI: 10.4108/eai.2-12-2022.2328678
Jianjia Zhou1, Na An1, Kui Liang1, Junxian Jiang2,*, Yaxue Mu2
  • 1: Leshan Power Supply Company State Sichuan Electric Power Company
  • 2: University of Electronic Science and Technology of China
*Contact email: 331463263@qq.com

Abstract

Aiming at the problems in the actual construction process of power grid infrastructure projects, such as the lack of time series data, the difficulty in analyzing the correlation between engineering quantity and investment amount, and the deviation of investment budget caused by engineering quantity estimation deviation, this paper studies the power grid infrastructure based on Bootstrap data expansion and gray correlation, Project engineering investment forecasting model. Firstly, the time series distribution of various expenses and engineering costs is analyzed, and the Bootstrap data expan-sion method is used to construct various cost and expense databases and cost data dis-tribution characteristic models of power grid infrastructure projects. , established a calculation and evaluation model of the correlation between engineering quantity and value of power grid infrastructure projects based on the grey relational analysis meth-od; through the coordinated preparation and adjustment model of the designed plan and budget, a long-term short-term memory neural network-based grid infrastructure project investment prediction model was established. Finally, through the analysis of simulation experiments, it is shown that the model studied can not only improve the accuracy of investment plan and budget management, solve the problem of incon-sistency between investment plan and budget and actual project progress, reduce waste and reduce cost.