Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Information, Control and Automation, ICICA 2022, December 2-4, 2022, Chongqing, China

Research Article

Research on Technology Forecasting Based on Patent Mining and Technology Evolutionary Trends

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  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.2-12-2022.2327968,
        author={Miao  Liu and Qiao  Liu and Fengyun  Xu and Tonglu  Zhao},
        title={Research on Technology Forecasting Based on Patent Mining and Technology Evolutionary Trends},
        proceedings={Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Information, Control and Automation, ICICA 2022, December 2-4, 2022, Chongqing, China},
        publisher={EAI},
        proceedings_a={ICICA},
        year={2023},
        month={3},
        keywords={technology forecasting; patent mining; evolutionary trends},
        doi={10.4108/eai.2-12-2022.2327968}
    }
    
  • Miao Liu
    Qiao Liu
    Fengyun Xu
    Tonglu Zhao
    Year: 2023
    Research on Technology Forecasting Based on Patent Mining and Technology Evolutionary Trends
    ICICA
    EAI
    DOI: 10.4108/eai.2-12-2022.2327968
Miao Liu1,*, Qiao Liu1, Fengyun Xu1, Tonglu Zhao1
  • 1: South China University of Technology
*Contact email: limiao@scut.edu.cn

Abstract

In order to help enterprises, improve their innovation ability and grasp the future development direction of technology. A technology forecasting model based on the Integration of patent mining and technology evolutionary trends is proposed. Through patent retrieval, patent data cleaning, patent clustering, the technical road map of patent linkage in the target field is constructed. Then, combined with the technology evolutionary trends, the potential nodes in the target field are added to form a complete hypothetical road map of technology evolution, and the potential technology evolution road of the target field is predicted. The concrete steps of applying the method to forecast are described, and the feasibility of the method is verified by applying the method to the prediction of gesture control in the field of air conditioning.