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Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Bigdata Blockchain and Economy Management, ICBBEM 2023, May 19–21, 2023, Hangzhou, China

Research Article

Analysis of Factors Influencing Carbon Price Based on Graph Neural Network

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  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.19-5-2023.2334424,
        author={Di  Huang and Chen  Wang and Dengji  Zhou and Jiarui  Hao and Chongyuan  Shui and Shixi  Ma},
        title={Analysis of Factors Influencing Carbon Price Based on Graph Neural Network},
        proceedings={Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Bigdata Blockchain and Economy Management, ICBBEM 2023, May 19--21, 2023, Hangzhou, China},
        publisher={EAI},
        proceedings_a={ICBBEM},
        year={2023},
        month={7},
        keywords={carbon market carbon price graph neural network transfer entropy influence analysis},
        doi={10.4108/eai.19-5-2023.2334424}
    }
    
  • Di Huang
    Chen Wang
    Dengji Zhou
    Jiarui Hao
    Chongyuan Shui
    Shixi Ma
    Year: 2023
    Analysis of Factors Influencing Carbon Price Based on Graph Neural Network
    ICBBEM
    EAI
    DOI: 10.4108/eai.19-5-2023.2334424
Di Huang1, Chen Wang2, Dengji Zhou2,*, Jiarui Hao2, Chongyuan Shui2, Shixi Ma2
  • 1: State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Company Ltd.
  • 2: Shanghai Jiao Tong University
*Contact email: ZhouDJ@sjtu.edu.cn

Abstract

Due to greenhouse gas emissions caused by fossil energy use, it is urgent to reduce carbon emissions. The carbon market is a powerful tool for emission reduction, and the analysis of the relationship between carbon price and energy price is of great significance to the reasonable formulation of carbon price and the healthy operation of carbon market. Based on time convolutional network, transfer entropy matrix and graph attention network, the paper establishes a graph neural network model that can analyse the influencing factors of carbon price. Based on the data of carbon price, electricity price, natural gas price, oil price and temperature in China, the causal relationship and influence between carbon price and other factors are analysed, and the graph network structure with weights of carbon price and other factors is obtained.

Keywords
carbon market carbon price graph neural network transfer entropy influence analysis
Published
2023-07-24
Publisher
EAI
http://dx.doi.org/10.4108/eai.19-5-2023.2334424
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