Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Bigdata Blockchain and Economy Management, ICBBEM 2023, May 19–21, 2023, Hangzhou, China

Research Article

JPX Tokyo Stock Exchange Prediction with LightGBM

Download348 downloads
  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.19-5-2023.2334371,
        author={Mingda  Huo and Sen  Wang and Tianxiao  Xu and Daniel Boxiao  Huang and Tong  Zhou},
        title={JPX Tokyo Stock Exchange Prediction with LightGBM},
        proceedings={Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Bigdata Blockchain and Economy Management, ICBBEM 2023, May 19--21, 2023, Hangzhou, China},
        publisher={EAI},
        proceedings_a={ICBBEM},
        year={2023},
        month={7},
        keywords={jpx tokyo stock exchange investment lightgbm sharpe ratio},
        doi={10.4108/eai.19-5-2023.2334371}
    }
    
  • Mingda Huo
    Sen Wang
    Tianxiao Xu
    Daniel Boxiao Huang
    Tong Zhou
    Year: 2023
    JPX Tokyo Stock Exchange Prediction with LightGBM
    ICBBEM
    EAI
    DOI: 10.4108/eai.19-5-2023.2334371
Mingda Huo1, Sen Wang2, Tianxiao Xu3, Daniel Boxiao Huang4, Tong Zhou5,*
  • 1: Jinan University
  • 2: ZhongYuan Bank Co,LTD
  • 3: Pace university
  • 4: Beijing Normal University-Hong Kong Baptist University United International College (UIC)
  • 5: Johns Hopkins University
*Contact email: tongzhoufuture@gmail.com

Abstract

The stock market is in an environment where risks and rewards coexist. A well-designed stock portfolio can make profits or even windfall profits through trading. Stock prediction refers to the use of scientific methods, using mathematical statistical methods as the means. In this paper, we pay attention to the JPX Tokyo Stock Exchange Prediction. The dataset is provided by Kaggle platform. We first do feature engineering and extract import features for model input. We use the LightGBM to predict the stock price. Sharpe Ratio is our evaluation metrics. The results show that our hybrid model owns the best performance with the highest Sharpe Ratio score 0.288, which is 0.023, 0.098, 0.048 higher than Xgboost, SVM and DNN respectively.