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Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference of Geography, ICGEO 2022, 19-20 November 2022, Padang, West Sumatera, Indonesia

Research Article

Analysis of Cellular Automata-Binary Logistic Regression for Prediction of Settlement Land In Madiun City, East Java

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  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.19-11-2022.2332154,
        author={Eva  Purnamasari and Samsudin A. Hafid and Fikriyanto  Nurdin},
        title={Analysis of Cellular Automata-Binary Logistic Regression for Prediction of Settlement Land In Madiun City, East Java},
        proceedings={Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference of Geography, ICGEO 2022, 19-20 November 2022, Padang, West Sumatera, Indonesia},
        publisher={EAI},
        proceedings_a={ICGEO},
        year={2023},
        month={6},
        keywords={land use change cellular automata-binary logistics regression settlement land prediction},
        doi={10.4108/eai.19-11-2022.2332154}
    }
    
  • Eva Purnamasari
    Samsudin A. Hafid
    Fikriyanto Nurdin
    Year: 2023
    Analysis of Cellular Automata-Binary Logistic Regression for Prediction of Settlement Land In Madiun City, East Java
    ICGEO
    EAI
    DOI: 10.4108/eai.19-11-2022.2332154
Eva Purnamasari1,*, Samsudin A. Hafid2, Fikriyanto Nurdin3
  • 1: Department of Geography, Faculty of Social Science, Universitas Negeri Padang, Padang, Indonesia
  • 2: Master of Science Programme in Remote Sensing, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, Indonesia
  • 3: Bachelor Programme in Urban and Regional Planning, Institut Teknologi Nasional Yogyakarta, Yogyakarta, Indonesia
*Contact email: evapurnamasari@fis.unp.ac.id

Abstract

The development and growth of a region have implications for population growth and density. Land use changes can lead to spatial control difficulties resulting in mismatches in urban land use, especially in Madiun City. The purpose of this study is to predict the development of land use in Madiun City in 2030. The analysis of land development predictions uses the Cellular Automata-Binary Logistic Regression method with the variables used in this study including, distance from public facilities, distance from local roads, and distance from collector roads. In 2030 the area of the arsenal will reach 2199.35 Ha, this shows that there is an increase in the area of reserve land, namely, 121.76 Ha. The total non-residential land area in 2030 will be 1191.97 Ha, this land area has decreased from 2020 to 120.43 Ha. Based on the results of the prediction of changes from non-weapon land to weapons through the CA-Regression Logistics model, it can be seen that in 2030 it is predicted that a lot of weapons land will develop in the center of Madiun City.

Keywords
land use change cellular automata-binary logistics regression settlement land prediction
Published
2023-06-20
Publisher
EAI
http://dx.doi.org/10.4108/eai.19-11-2022.2332154
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