Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Economic Management and Model Engineering, ICEMME 2022, November 18-20, 2022, Nanjing, China

Research Article

The Progress of Stock Price Forecasting Model Based on AI Techniques: ARIMA, Neural Networks and LSTM

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  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.18-11-2022.2327116,
        author={Tianhao  Gao and Yuwen  Huo and Mengmeng  Yu},
        title={The Progress of Stock Price Forecasting Model Based on AI Techniques: ARIMA, Neural Networks and LSTM },
        proceedings={Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Economic Management and Model Engineering, ICEMME 2022, November 18-20, 2022, Nanjing, China},
        publisher={EAI},
        proceedings_a={ICEMME},
        year={2023},
        month={2},
        keywords={price forecasting; arima; machine learning; neural networks; lstm},
        doi={10.4108/eai.18-11-2022.2327116}
    }
    
  • Tianhao Gao
    Yuwen Huo
    Mengmeng Yu
    Year: 2023
    The Progress of Stock Price Forecasting Model Based on AI Techniques: ARIMA, Neural Networks and LSTM
    ICEMME
    EAI
    DOI: 10.4108/eai.18-11-2022.2327116
Tianhao Gao1,*, Yuwen Huo2, Mengmeng Yu3
  • 1: Financial Mathematic, University of Liverpool
  • 2: School of Economics and Management, North University of China
  • 3: School of Finance, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics
*Contact email: Sgtgao2@liverpool.ac.uk

Abstract

In contemporary society, under great demand for effective investing, stock price forecasting is always a hot topic in financial research. On this basis, this study investigates the price forecasting models based on three common used measures and approaches, i.e., ARIMA, Neural networks and LSTM models regarding information retrieval and literature review methods. Specifically, for Artificial neural networks, we present a traditional three-layer model consisting of input, hidden and output layers with six variables. As for ARIMA, we mainly determine the main application scope of ARIMA through the brief comparison between ARIMA and other models in stock forecasting and the advantages and disadvantages of ARIMA. With regard to LSTM, we discuss the study of its various doors and functions and the analysis of its advantages and disadvantages. According to our analysis, among the three selected scenarios, LSTM shows pretty well performances among various approaches. Overall, these results shed light on future stock predicting model improvement.