Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Economic Management and Model Engineering, ICEMME 2022, November 18-20, 2022, Nanjing, China

Research Article

What Affects Exchange Rate When COVID-19 Spread

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  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.18-11-2022.2326762,
        author={Junbing  Lin and Ziqin  Xiong and Jie  Xu},
        title={What Affects Exchange Rate When COVID-19 Spread},
        proceedings={Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Economic Management and Model Engineering, ICEMME 2022, November 18-20, 2022, Nanjing, China},
        publisher={EAI},
        proceedings_a={ICEMME},
        year={2023},
        month={2},
        keywords={exchange rate; covid-19},
        doi={10.4108/eai.18-11-2022.2326762}
    }
    
  • Junbing Lin
    Ziqin Xiong
    Jie Xu
    Year: 2023
    What Affects Exchange Rate When COVID-19 Spread
    ICEMME
    EAI
    DOI: 10.4108/eai.18-11-2022.2326762
Junbing Lin1,*, Ziqin Xiong2, Jie Xu3
  • 1: City University of Macau
  • 2: Sun Yat-Sen University
  • 3: The Ohio State University
*Contact email: f19090106893@cityu.mo

Abstract

This essay focuses on what factors would have impacts on the exchange rate between USD and CNY before and after the pandemic of COVID-19, and what economic results the pandemic brought. According to the research, the factors, inflation rate of the US, effective federal funds rate, real disposable personal income, and unemployment rate were studied and summarized one by one and have been analyzed in a linear regression simultaneously. Besides, this paper also ran multiple regressions to see the comparison before and after the COVID-19. After the analysis, the conclusion showed that the factors of inflation and unemployment rate which change greatly before and after the COVID-19 have significant effects on the exchange rate, but some factors of real disposable personal income that change slightly have no obvious linear relationship with the exchange rate. In a word, some economic indexes that have been affected should be taken into account to make a prediction and help the economy recover in the future, especially when the effect of COVID-19 was evident.