Research Article
An Empirical Study on The Impact of Cross-Border E-Commerce on China's Export Structure
@INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.17-6-2022.2322839, author={Minjie KANG and Shanshan JIN and Xiaowen WANG}, title={An Empirical Study on The Impact of Cross-Border E-Commerce on China's Export Structure}, proceedings={Proceedings of the International Conference on Information Economy, Data Modeling and Cloud Computing, ICIDC 2022, 17-19 June 2022, Qingdao, China}, publisher={EAI}, proceedings_a={ICIDC}, year={2022}, month={10}, keywords={cross-border e-commerce china's export trade var model}, doi={10.4108/eai.17-6-2022.2322839} }- Minjie KANG
Shanshan JIN
Xiaowen WANG
Year: 2022
An Empirical Study on The Impact of Cross-Border E-Commerce on China's Export Structure
ICIDC
EAI
DOI: 10.4108/eai.17-6-2022.2322839
Abstract
This paper uses time series data from 2005 to 2020, takes cross-border e-commerce trade volume as the explanatory variable, and selects the proportion of mechanical and electrical products that can represent the significant characteristics of China's export structure in total export as the explained variable to build a VAR model. The main conclusions are as follows: there is a cointegration relationship between the original sequence data series of export proportion of electromechanical products and the logarithmic sequence of cross-border e-commerce trade volume after first-order difference. The VAR model with 3 order lag is constructed, and the fitting effect is good and the model is stable. The proportion of mechanical and electrical products responds to the development of cross-border e-commerce with a fluctuation range of 1% and periodic fluctuations in 4 years. The testing model can determine that the development of cross-border e-commerce is the Granger cause of the proportion change of mechanical and electrical products. The research results of this paper can provide reference for related researches on the promotion effect of cross-border e-commerce on China's export.