Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Public Management and Intelligent Society, PMIS 2024, 15–17 March 2024, Changsha, China

Research Article

Spatial-Temporal Dynamics of Land Use and Cover Change and Multi-Scenario Analysing - A Case Study of Chang-Zhu-Tan Urban Agglomeration

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  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.15-3-2024.2346540,
        author={Yan  Huo and Jianjun  Liao},
        title={Spatial-Temporal Dynamics of Land Use and Cover Change and Multi-Scenario Analysing - A Case Study of Chang-Zhu-Tan Urban Agglomeration},
        proceedings={Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Public Management and Intelligent Society, PMIS 2024, 15--17 March 2024, Changsha, China},
        publisher={EAI},
        proceedings_a={PMIS},
        year={2024},
        month={6},
        keywords={land use and cover change plus chang-zhu-tan urban agglomeration},
        doi={10.4108/eai.15-3-2024.2346540}
    }
    
  • Yan Huo
    Jianjun Liao
    Year: 2024
    Spatial-Temporal Dynamics of Land Use and Cover Change and Multi-Scenario Analysing - A Case Study of Chang-Zhu-Tan Urban Agglomeration
    PMIS
    EAI
    DOI: 10.4108/eai.15-3-2024.2346540
Yan Huo1, Jianjun Liao1,*
  • 1: University of South China
*Contact email: ljj8282253@usc.edu.cn

Abstract

Land use and cover change (LUCC) can help us understanding of the evolu-tion of urban ecological environment. This study investigated the dynamic changes of LUCC in the Chang-Zhu-Tan urban agglomeration (CZT) and identify its driving factors from 2000 to 2020. Additionally, we predicted the land use and land cover (LULC) in 2030 of CZT. The results revealed substantial loss of cropland and forest, comprising 6.90% and 2.42% re-spectively, contributed to 97.47% of new construction land. Spatially, the LUCC displayed a "center-periphery" distribution pattern, demonstrating outward spatial expansion. Cropland and forest loss areas were concentrat-ed in urban regions, aligning with the spatial development of urban expan-sion along the river. All scenarios presented a ecological deterioration in CZT in 2030. Overall, our study helps to accurately re-veal the spatial-temporal evolution of urban ecosystems