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Proceedings of the 6th Annual International Conference on Business and Public Administration, AICOBPA 2023, 1 November 2023, Malang, Indonesia

Research Article

Scenario Planning for Rural Area Development in Kediri Regency

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  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.1-11-2023.2355297,
        author={Abdullah  Said and Ajie Hanif  Muzaqi and Irwan  Noor and Firda  Hidayati},
        title={Scenario Planning for Rural Area Development in Kediri Regency},
        proceedings={Proceedings of the 6th Annual International Conference on Business and Public Administration, AICOBPA 2023, 1 November 2023, Malang, Indonesia},
        publisher={EAI},
        proceedings_a={AICOBPA},
        year={2025},
        month={12},
        keywords={scenario planning regional planning rural areas kediri regency},
        doi={10.4108/eai.1-11-2023.2355297}
    }
    
  • Abdullah Said
    Ajie Hanif Muzaqi
    Irwan Noor
    Firda Hidayati
    Year: 2025
    Scenario Planning for Rural Area Development in Kediri Regency
    AICOBPA
    EAI
    DOI: 10.4108/eai.1-11-2023.2355297
Abdullah Said1, Ajie Hanif Muzaqi1,*, Irwan Noor1, Firda Hidayati1
  • 1: Universitas Brawijaya, Indonesia
*Contact email: ajiehanifs3@student.ub.ac.id

Abstract

Scenario planning is an appropriate strategic management concept based on development participation. In particular, Kediri Regency is a developing region in East Java Province. This district initially relied on the agricultural sector for economic growth in all villages. However, with the current vast area of Kediri Regency, Kediri Regency is divided into four strategic areas. The four areas are agricultural, trade and industrial, tourism areas, and international airport areas. Specifically, Kediri Regency does not have rural areas, meaning scenario planning for rural areas needs to be carried out. This research aims to map rural areas by finding rural area planning scenarios from the four areas that have been formed. The scenario planning method in this paper uses tracking, analyzing, imaging, and deciding. The data in this paper was collected through interviews, secondary data, and observation to fulfill the tracking stage. The output of the tracking stage is analyzed using cross-impact to build scenarios in the analysis stage. The production of the analyzing stage becomes the input for formulating vision and strategy at the imaging and deciding sets. This article offers four alternative methods for developing rural areas: less synergy, synergism, antagonism, and additive.

Keywords
scenario planning, regional planning, rural areas, kediri regency
Published
2025-12-03
Publisher
EAI
http://dx.doi.org/10.4108/eai.1-11-2023.2355297
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