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Industrial Networks and Intelligent Systems. 10th EAI International Conference, INISCOM 2024, Da Nang, Vietnam, February 20–21, 2024, Proceedings

Research Article

Features Inspired PM2.5 Prediction: A Belfast City Case Study

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  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.1007/978-3-031-67357-3_15,
        author={Fareena Naz and Muhammad Fahim and Adnan Ahmad Cheema and Nguyen Trung Viet and Tuan-Vu Cao and Trung Q. Duong},
        title={Features Inspired PM2.5 Prediction: A Belfast City Case Study},
        proceedings={Industrial Networks and Intelligent Systems. 10th EAI International Conference, INISCOM 2024, Da Nang, Vietnam, February 20--21, 2024, Proceedings},
        proceedings_a={INISCOM},
        year={2024},
        month={7},
        keywords={Feature generation Signal decomposition PM2.5 Machine learning Forecasting models Long Short Term Memory},
        doi={10.1007/978-3-031-67357-3_15}
    }
    
  • Fareena Naz
    Muhammad Fahim
    Adnan Ahmad Cheema
    Nguyen Trung Viet
    Tuan-Vu Cao
    Trung Q. Duong
    Year: 2024
    Features Inspired PM2.5 Prediction: A Belfast City Case Study
    INISCOM
    Springer
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-67357-3_15
Fareena Naz1, Muhammad Fahim1, Adnan Ahmad Cheema2, Nguyen Trung Viet, Tuan-Vu Cao, Trung Q. Duong1,*
  • 1: School of Electronics, Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Queen’s University Belfast
  • 2: SenComm Research Lab, School of Engineering, Ulster University
*Contact email: trung.q.duong@qub.ac.uk

Abstract

Air pollution is one of the key challenges to both human health and our environment, and managing it requires collective systematic efforts to prevent and mitigate future effects. Fundamentally, this required a better understanding of sources that generate pollution and forecasting models to predict current and future air pollution levels. In this work, we investigated features inspired PM2.5 prediction based on a dataset collected in Northern Ireland, UK. We analysed the influence of different features available in the dataset and newly generated with approaches such as Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) and evaluated single-step forecasting model performance. We found that a single Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) layer model with a small number of cells and integrated features are sufficient to achieve a good forecasting performance. The combination of VMD integrated features enabled the forecasting model to achieve(\text {R}^2)score over 85% and achieve a gain of 6% when compared with lag based prediction only.

Keywords
Feature generation Signal decomposition PM2.5 Machine learning Forecasting models Long Short Term Memory
Published
2024-07-31
Appears in
SpringerLink
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-67357-3_15
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