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Pervasive Computing Technologies for Healthcare. 15th EAI International Conference, Pervasive Health 2021, Virtual Event, December 6-8, 2021, Proceedings

Research Article

Clinical Decision Making and Outcome Prediction for COVID-19 Patients Using Machine Learning

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  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.1007/978-3-030-99194-4_1,
        author={Adamopoulou Maria and Velissaris Dimitrios and Michou Ioanna and Matzaroglou Charalampos and Messaris Gerasimos and Koutsojannis Constantinos},
        title={Clinical Decision Making and Outcome Prediction for COVID-19 Patients Using Machine Learning},
        proceedings={Pervasive Computing Technologies for Healthcare. 15th EAI International Conference, Pervasive Health 2021, Virtual Event, December 6-8, 2021, Proceedings},
        proceedings_a={PERVASIVEHEALTH},
        year={2022},
        month={3},
        keywords={COVID-19 Clinical decision making Machine learning Patient management},
        doi={10.1007/978-3-030-99194-4_1}
    }
    
  • Adamopoulou Maria
    Velissaris Dimitrios
    Michou Ioanna
    Matzaroglou Charalampos
    Messaris Gerasimos
    Koutsojannis Constantinos
    Year: 2022
    Clinical Decision Making and Outcome Prediction for COVID-19 Patients Using Machine Learning
    PERVASIVEHEALTH
    Springer
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-99194-4_1
Adamopoulou Maria1,*, Velissaris Dimitrios2, Michou Ioanna1, Matzaroglou Charalampos1, Messaris Gerasimos1, Koutsojannis Constantinos1
  • 1: Department of Health Physics and Computational Intelligence, School of Health Rehabilitation Sciences, University of Patras
  • 2: Department of Pathology, University of Patras
*Contact email: madamo@upatras.gr

Abstract

In this paper, we present the application of a Machine Learning (ML) approach that generates predictions to support healthcare professionals to identify the outcome of patients through optimization of treatment strategies. Based on Decision Tree algorithms, our approach has been trained and tested by analyzing the severity and the outcomes of 346 COVID-19 patients, treated through the first two pandemics “waves” in a tertiary center in Western Greece. Its’ performance was achieved, analyzing entry features, as demographic characteristics, comorbidity details, imaging analysis, blood values, and essential hospitalization details, like patient transfers to Intensive Care Unit (ICU), medications, and manifestation responses at each treatment stage. Furthermore, it has provided a total high prediction performance (97%) and translated the ML analysis to clinical managing decisions and suggestions for healthcare institution performance and other epidemiological or postmortem approaches. Consequently, healthcare decisions could be more accurately figured and predicted, towards better management of the fast-growing patient subpopulations, giving more time for the effective pharmaceutical or vaccine armamentarium that the medical, scientific community will produce.

Keywords
COVID-19 Clinical decision making Machine learning Patient management
Published
2022-03-23
Appears in
SpringerLink
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-99194-4_1
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