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IoT as a Service. 7th EAI International Conference, IoTaaS 2021, Sydney, Australia, December 13–14, 2021, Proceedings

Research Article

IoT-Based Data Driven Prediction of Offshore Wind Power in a Short-Term Interval Span

Cite
BibTeX Plain Text
  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.1007/978-3-030-95987-6_17,
        author={Muhammad Khalid and Mir Bilal Khan and Imam Dad and Shayhaq Fateh},
        title={IoT-Based Data Driven Prediction of Offshore Wind Power in a Short-Term Interval Span},
        proceedings={IoT as a Service. 7th EAI International Conference, IoTaaS 2021, Sydney, Australia, December 13--14, 2021, Proceedings},
        proceedings_a={IOTAAS},
        year={2022},
        month={7},
        keywords={Big data Wind power SGD SVM},
        doi={10.1007/978-3-030-95987-6_17}
    }
    
  • Muhammad Khalid
    Mir Bilal Khan
    Imam Dad
    Shayhaq Fateh
    Year: 2022
    IoT-Based Data Driven Prediction of Offshore Wind Power in a Short-Term Interval Span
    IOTAAS
    Springer
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-95987-6_17
Muhammad Khalid1,*, Mir Bilal Khan2, Imam Dad3, Shayhaq Fateh
  • 1: Jacobs University Bremen, Campus Ring 1
  • 2: University of Hertfordshire Collage Lane
  • 3: University of Balochistan, Saryab Road
*Contact email: Khalid.csd.uob@gmail.com

Abstract

Wind energy is becoming one of the most important suppliers of renewable energy but due to its reliance on weather conditions it is highly inconsistent and its integration into electricity grids is a challenge. In this research we present a comparative analysis of the performance of several prominent data mining techniques in prediction of wind energy generation. Data from the Big Data Challenge Bremen 2018 was used for short term forecasting. Of basic models, a decision tree produced the best performing model. It performed marginally better than SGD, OLS, LASSO and Bayesian ridge regression. Whereas, SVM, nearest neighbor and Gaussian NB performed very poorly. A further analysis using ensemble methods was performed where a Gradient Boosting was the best model. Further improvements of the IoT model are performed and limitations of this are discussed in detail.

Keywords
Big data Wind power SGD SVM
Published
2022-07-08
Appears in
SpringerLink
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-95987-6_17
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