Game Theory for Networks. 2nd International ICST Conference, GAMENETS 2011, Shanghai, China, April 16-18, 2011, Revised Selected Papers

Research Article

Minimizing the Social Cost of an Epidemic

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  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.1007/978-3-642-30373-9_41,
        author={Elizabeth Bodine-Baron and Subhonmesh Bose and Babak Hassibi and Adam Wierman},
        title={Minimizing the Social Cost of an Epidemic},
        proceedings={Game Theory for Networks. 2nd International ICST Conference, GAMENETS 2011, Shanghai, China, April 16-18, 2011, Revised Selected Papers},
        proceedings_a={GAMENETS},
        year={2012},
        month={10},
        keywords={Epidemic immunization information cascade random matrix theory generalized random graphs},
        doi={10.1007/978-3-642-30373-9_41}
    }
    
  • Elizabeth Bodine-Baron
    Subhonmesh Bose
    Babak Hassibi
    Adam Wierman
    Year: 2012
    Minimizing the Social Cost of an Epidemic
    GAMENETS
    Springer
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-30373-9_41
Elizabeth Bodine-Baron1,*, Subhonmesh Bose1,*, Babak Hassibi1,*, Adam Wierman1,*
  • 1: California Institute of Technology
*Contact email: eabodine@caltech.edu, boses@caltech.edu, hassibi@caltech.edu, adamw@caltech.edu

Abstract

In this paper we quantify the total cost of an epidemic spreading through a social network, accounting for both the immunization and disease costs. Previous research has typically focused on determining the optimal strategy to limit the lifetime of a disease, without considering the cost of such strategies. In the large graph limit, we calculate the exact expected disease cost for a general random graph, and we illustrate it for the specific example of an Erdös-Rényi network. We also give an upper bound on the expected disease cost for finite-size graphs, and show through simulation that the upper bound is tight for Erdös-Rényi networks and graphs with exponential degree distributions. Finally, we study how to optimally perform a one-shot immunization to minimize the social cost of a disease, including both the cost of the disease and the cost of immunization.