Wireless Internet. 10th International Conference, WiCON 2017, Tianjin, China, December 16-17, 2017, Proceedings

Research Article

A Haze Prediction Algorithm Based on PCA-BP Neural Network

  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.1007/978-3-319-90802-1_40,
        author={Dong Li and Shudong Liu and Rong Liu and Cheng Li and Yunjie Zhang},
        title={A Haze Prediction Algorithm Based on PCA-BP Neural Network},
        proceedings={Wireless Internet. 10th International Conference, WiCON 2017, Tianjin, China, December 16-17, 2017, Proceedings},
        proceedings_a={WICON},
        year={2018},
        month={5},
        keywords={Haze forecast PCA BP neural network Comprehensive variables},
        doi={10.1007/978-3-319-90802-1_40}
    }
    
  • Dong Li
    Shudong Liu
    Rong Liu
    Cheng Li
    Yunjie Zhang
    Year: 2018
    A Haze Prediction Algorithm Based on PCA-BP Neural Network
    WICON
    Springer
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-90802-1_40
Dong Li1,*, Shudong Liu1, Rong Liu1, Cheng Li1, Yunjie Zhang1
  • 1: Tianjin Chengjian University
*Contact email: 328848806@qq.com

Abstract

In this paper, we proposed a novel haze forecast model, which combine the principal component analysis with back-propagation neural network to solve the air quality problem in China. Comprehensive variables are obtained by dimension reduction on many predictive factors through principal component analysis (PCA). Then we use the comprehensive variables as the input of back-propagation (BP) neural network. Through this process, the correlation among the original predictors can be eliminated and the structure of neural network can be simplified. The simulation results show that the average prediction error of the prediction model by using principal component analysis combined with BP neural network is less than 10%, far lower than the results of the traditional prediction method which only use a single index, PM daily average concentration, to judge whether it is haze day.